This is my response to a Message Board debate on the situation. I wrote it and though, should stick it on the blog, so here it is.....
Lebanon is a democracy. Hezbollah are a political party. They often deliver better healthcare and education than the Lebanese state. They want an Islamic state in Lebanon but are prepared to try and acheive it at the ballot box in a free society. They don't disguise this. It irks me that the even a free democracy is not protected by the US after all the bleating over Iraqi freedom. Not too mention Hamas's stake in Palestinian democracy.
The language of freedom, democracy and terror has been hypocritically warped.
The lebanese state will not fight back but the people will.Hezbollah are also an aggressive military organisation. They have no right to attack Israel and Israel does have a right to defend itself. However the manner in which they are choosing to do so is very over the top. There is no excuse for the shelling of UN bases. Israel may have issues warnings to leave but then proceeded to blow up the vehicles leaving if they were big enough to conceal rockets.
Hezbollahs grievances, like those of Palestine, come from the fact that Israel is in control of land it should not be. Israel has continually flouted UN resolutions in both Lebanon and Palestine. At the conference in Rome only three out of scores of countries blocked a move to call for an unconditional ceasefire.
The idea of not calling for a ceasfire until a plan is in place to uphold it is rubbish. No satisfactory conclusion will be reached until the powers that be start recognising genuine greivances and bully all parties concerned. All the bloodshed that will continue with our permission is pointless if we are so hellbent on finding a solution.
I think it is very likely that Iran will become involved. It is only a matter of time before Iranian oil ( which we are very happy to buy from them to fund their nuclear programs) is not traded in dollars. Causing a fall in dollar demand and a few problems with the delicate global finance system. In short such a move by Iran would be an attack on American interests, proviking war. It was what lead to the Iraq war.
As for conspriacies, I am sure that there are powerplays at work. Not sure if its anything to do with North Korea though. Speculation is enjoyable but not too productive.
The UN can't do anything. Like the League of Nations before it. The set up of the security council with permanent member veto ensures its pointless at times of crises, although still important for mopping up. Unless we work towards a global democratic structure of government the most powerful states will always ride roughshod.
I realise I am getting into ranting territory. No doubt this thread will get deleted soon anyway! I accept everyone will have a different opinion on the matter.I just wish that there was a genuine desire to see a peaceful and prosperous middle east whose economies were not almost solely dependant on finite resources.
For this to happen I believe we need to see our governments prepared to admit that we have behaved openly and covertly in a way which has caused genuine greivance amongst people of many religions and ethnicitys. There is no absolutely no excuse for terrorism and although some people will always find one we should endeavour to limit theit options in anyway we can.
Getting back to the original point, this means taking a consistently firm stance with Israel. Which seems pretty unliekly sadly. The barrel of a gun does not discrimate between a terrorist and an israeli soldier and not do the cries of a mother.
Just a point for the cynics. It can never be this easy. Once power and money come into the equation the real world takes hold. You can but dream though....